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1. Jacksonville Jaguars - Trevor Lawrence, QB, Clemson
I cannot be convinced that the Jaguars will take anyone else besides Lawrence here and I don't think I ever will be. Jacksonville has their potential franchise quarterback and Urban Meyer gets a chance to address other needs in the coming rounds. Everything starts with the Quarterback position.
Image via BYU Photo
2. *Carolina Panthers (from NYJ) - Zach Wilson, QB, BYU
The first trade of the draft comes as a surprise. Carolina moves up to get Wilson here in a trade with the Jets, who may be acquiring Deshaun Watson or believe they can get the guy they truly want by sliding down and gaining more draft capital. Wilson would compete with Bridgewater, but not feel pressured to play immediately. An ideal landing spot for the talented quarterback.
*CAR Receive: #2 Overall, 2022 5th Round Pick (NYJ)
*NYJ Receive: #8 Overall, 2022 1st Round Pick, 2022 3rd Round Pick
Image via The Athletic
3. Miami Dolphins (from HOU) - Penei Sewell, OT, Oregon
Originally, I had them going wide receiver here, but Sewell is too good to pass up. Miami needs to improve on the offensive line as it is the most important position set in football. Sewell is the best prospect at the tackle position in this draft class and should be a day 1 starter for Miami.
4. Atlanta Falcons - Ja'Marr Chase, WR, LSU
Here's a surprise. The Falcons are in cap hell. At 34 years old and with one year remaining on his deal, Atlanta drafts Julio Jones' replacement and looks to deal him later. Jones has a cap hit of $19.2 million this season. If they can find a way to get out of that deal and move on from their franchise wide receiver, Chase is a solid piece to help them do that. I truly have no idea what the Falcons are going to do here, but I do believe Matt Ryan has a lot of good football left in him.
Image via John Raoux/AP
5. Cincinnati Bengals - Kyle Pitts, TE, Florida
Not an ideal scenario for the Bengals here as Chase and Sewell are off the board. However, they need a playmaker and Pitts could be elite at the tight end position. He's also capable of lining up at receiver as well. The Bengals badly need an upgrade at this position and Burrow would love this guy.
6. Philadelphia Eagles - DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama
The Eagles are sticking with Jalen Hurts this season with Fields and Lance still on the board. Adding Smith should help improve a wide receiver core that was underwhelming at best last season. Smith has the right mindset and work ethic for a city like Philadelphia. He should fit right in with the Eagles.
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7. *San Francisco 49ers (from DET) - QB, Justin Fields, Ohio State
Kyle Shanahan and John Lynch pull the trigger on Fields here and move up 5 spots to get him. The Lions move back and gain draft capital to help in their rebuild. A win-win for both teams. The 49ers need a quarterback who can make all the throws in Shanahan's offensive scheme. I was lower on Fields this season, but I think he can be very good in the right offense. The talent is there and with Shanahan's coaching, look out.
*DET receives #12 Overall, #102 Overall, #156 Overall, 2022 2nd Round Pick
*SF receives #7 Overall, 2022 6th Round Pick
8. *New York Jets (from CAR) - Patrick Surtain II, CB, Alabama
By all means, the Jets have the flexibility to do a lot of things in this draft when it comes to any position. Trading for Watson, grabbing the guy they want at #2, trading down for more draft capital, sticking with Darnold. The options are endless. I have them moving down, collecting extra picks to potentially acquire Watson. The Jets were a middle of the road passing defense last year. Drafting Surtain here could give them a young shut down corner that they have been missing since Revis Island. The world is the Jets oyster.
9. Denver Broncos - Caleb Farley, CB, Virginia Tech
I've got Denver going with Farley here and as a Broncos fan, I'm not convinced Lock is the guy. I'm also not convinced that Lance is worth a selection at this point. Denver has many other needs, including a cornerback after Chris Harris Jr. departing last season and the release of AJ Bouye this offseason. I could see Denver trading back from this selection as well. Farley hopefully comes in day one and is a nice addition to Bryce Callahan.
Image via SEC Media Portal
10. *New England Patriots (from DAL) - Jaylen Waddle, WR, Alabama
New England makes a trade to move in front of the Giants to select Jaylen Waddle. Dallas is happy to oblige. Normally, you would see the Patriots trading down, but they need an offensive weapon badly. The strong relationship between Belichick and Saban allows the Patriots to select Waddle and utilize his full talents.
*NE receives: #10 Overall
*DAL receives: #15 Overall, #120 Overall, #197 Overall, 2022 2nd Round Pick
11. New York Giants - Kwity Paye, EDGE, Michigan
The Giants badly needed a playmaker on offense, but with the top 3 receiver prospects and Pitts gone, they are forced to go with an edge rusher in Paye. New York fills a need with this selection and should be happy with Paye's production in his career. In a weak pass rusher class, the Giants may have gotten one of the few guys who will make an impact early.
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12. *Detroit Lions (from SF) - Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State
The Lions seem committed to Jared Goff. Obviously, things change in a second in the NFL, but they need to build up that defense badly. The Lions and good defense haven't belonged in the same conversation in quite some time. Parsons comes in as Dan Campbell's first main piece on defense. Hopefully, he can make an impact early for the Lions.
13. Los Angeles Chargers - Christian Darrisaw, OT, Virginia Tech
The Chargers get an offensive tackle here, similar to what the Bengals did earlier. Darrisaw was ranked as the top collegiate tackle in pass and run blocking last season (PFF). Most experts have Slater ranked ahead of him, but the Chargers go with Darrisaw here to sure up an offensive line in need of a makeover. Justin Herbert enjoys this selection.
14. Minnesota Vikings - Gregory Rousseau, EDGE, Miami (FL)
The Vikings need a defensive stud to help rebuild a defense that was horrible last season under Mike Zimmer. Rousseau provides the most risk of any of the edge prospects in the first round, but he also could be a potential stud. The Vikings were in the bottom 3rd of the league in sacks per game. Rousseau is hopefully the guy to help rebuild that pass rush.
Image via Syracuse University Athletics
15. *Dallas Cowboys (from NE) - Ifeatu Melifonwu, CB, Syracuse
The Cowboys slide back and draft a replacement for Byron Jones in the secondary. Melifonwu was a 2 year starter for the Orange who was an All-ACC performer this past season. Melifonwu is big and physical at the line of scrimmage (6 foot 3 inches & 213 pounds). He should help a Dallas secondary who is badly in need of some talent.
16. Arizona Cardinals - Rashawn Slater, OT, Northwestern
The Cardinals fill a huge need here at offensive tackle with perhaps the most pro-ready player at his position. Slater slides in immediately at tackle or guard depending on who you talk to. Protecting Kyler Murray is a must, considering how banged up he was at the duration of last season. Whether its inside or outside, Slater should be a solid professional lineman. This is a great value pick at #16.
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17. Las Vegas Raiders - Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina
Horn has been climbing up draft boards this offseason and the Raiders have a need in the secondary. Horn could perhaps become the top cornerback from this draft and the Raiders have to keep up with Kansas City somehow. At 6 foot 1 inches and 200 pounds, Horn can match the physicality of stronger receivers. Doesn't hurt that his father played in the NFL for 10 seasons. The bloodline is strong!
18. *Cleveland Browns (from MIA) - Christian Barmore, DT, Alabama
The Browns are going to have some question marks at the defensive tackle position in the future. Sheldon Richardson will be an UFA in 2022. Larry Ogunjobi will be a UFA this offseason and the Browns may not be able to resign him with Denzel Ward and Baker Mayfield's contract extensions coming up. The Browns fill a need at defensive tackle with Barmore here, while also moving up to do so. I just don't see a linebacker worthy of a pick in the first round.
*CLE receives: #18 Overall
*MIA receives: #26 Overall, #89 Overall, 2022 6th Round Pick
19. Washington Football Team - Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, LB, Notre Dame
Washington is also in the market for Deshaun Watson and should not be overlooked as a prime destination. They do have a need at linebacker and that's the move they decide to go with here. The Fighting Irish product has also been another player rising on draft boards. A converted safety in college, he has the ability to be a multi-dimensional player on defense. Washington is the sleeper team in my opinion for Watson and you could see Houston sliding up and dealing with Washington here as well.
Image via John Autey / Pioneer Press
20. Chicago Bears - Rashod Bateman, WR, Minnesota
The Bears are more than likely going to lose Allen Robinson in free agency this offseason. While Baltimore may sneak up and steal Bateman, I have him going to Chicago here. Bateman is a stud and unfortunately might not have a QB to get him the ball early in his career. However, we've seen young guys like Terry McLaurin succeed without solid quarterback play. Home-run pick here for the Bears.
21. Indianapolis Colts - Azeez Ojulari, EDGE, Georgia
After acquiring Carson Wentz this offseason, the Colts look to secure an edge pass rusher with the potential loss of Justin Houston to free agency. Houston had 8 sacks last season and the Colts may look to get younger in 2021. Ojulari is a potential higher selection in the draft, but a great pick if he gets to this point in the first round.
Image via USA Today
22. *New Orleans Saints (from TEN) - Trey Lance, QB, North Dakota State
Sean Payton finally ends Lance's slide at #22 by moving up to select him. With the uncertainty of Drew Brees hanging over the Saints, I don't believe the future quarterback is on the roster. Lance will be ecstatic if he ends up in New Orleans. He has all the tools in the box to become an elite quarterback in this league. This is the perfect situation for him in my opinion.
*NO receives: #22 Overall, #85 Overall
*TEN receives: #28 Overall, #60 Overall, #133 Overall, 2022 3rd Round Pick
23. New York Jets (from SEA) - Teven Jenkins, OT, Oklahoma State
Jenkins might be the best right tackle prospect in the draft. With Becton in place on the left side, the Jets take Jenkins here to solidify the right side. They may be in play for Russell Wilson or Deshaun Watson, but say they stick Sam Darnold, they have had a great first round here. Both tackle positions are addressed now and they can now focus on other areas of the team.
Image via Roll Tide Wire
24. Pittsburgh Steelers - Najee Harris, RB, Alabama
Sometimes there's just a pick that fits with an organization. Last year it was J.K. Dobbins with the Ravens. This year, it's Najee Harris with Pittsburgh. The Steelers have lost their edge in the rushing game and Harris is the perfect guy to get it back. James Conner just has not performed up to his ability and they cannot afford a guy who can't stay on the field. Harris brings a little toughness back to the Steelers ground game.
25. *Buffalo Bills (from JAC) - Alijah Vera-Tucker, OT, USC
I originally had Travis Etienne going to the Bills for a while now. However, after seeing their performance in the AFC title game, it's clear that offensive line needs some help. Vera-Tucker can play tackle or guard in the NFL. I believe he will be more than competent and ready to play this year. Etienne or Harris could be a fit as well if they decide to go that route. Jacksonville gains more draft capital in a slight move back. Makes sense for both teams.
*Buffalo receives: #25 Overall, #227 Overall
*Jacksonville receives: #30 Overall, #93 Overall, 2022 4th Round Pick
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26. *Miami Dolphins (from CLE) - Travis Etienne, RB, Clemson Travis Etienne goes goes to Miami in their projected trade down from #18 overall. Etienne is easily the most electric back in this draft and gives Miami a speed threat out of the backfield. Etienne is more than capable of being the best back in this draft.
27. Baltimore Ravens - Jalen Mayfield, OT, Michigan
John Harbaugh knows the Michigan program extremely well. Orlando Brown's public stance on playing left tackle has the Ravens concerned. Mayfield will be able to slide over to the right side in case Baltimore has to move on from Brown. Ronnie Stanley is not going anywhere, so Mayfield is the potential replacement for Brown here in Baltimore.
28. *Tennessee Titans (from NO) - Jayson Oweh, EDGE, Penn State
One of the Titans top needs is addressed here in a weaker edge class. Oweh definitely has potential and can help the Titans immediately. It's crazy how many players from Penn State I have projected to be first round picks from a team that performed so poorly last season. James Franklin can recruit and develop that is without question.
Image via The Game Haus
29. Green Bay Packers - Tyson Campbell, CB, Georgia
Kevin King has made Packers fans scream since the NFC Championship. I think the value at receiver can be addressed later with guys like Amari Rodgers, Terrace Marshall, Rondale Moore, and Amon-Ra St. Brown. You just never know how teams have guys ranked. Campbell fits a need at the corner position and should be a day one starter for Green Bay.
Image via Abby Drey
30. *Jacksonville Jaguars (from BUF) - Pat Freiermuth, TE, Penn State
Urban Meyer and company secure a need at tight end with Baby Gronk. Freiermuth wore #87 because of Gronkowski and could be an absolute beast with Trevor Lawrence. I love this fit for the Jaguars and believe we could see a massive jump in the production from DJ Chark if Freiermuth ends up being the player I think he can be.
31. Kansas City Chiefs - Wyatt Davis, OG, Ohio State
Kansas City is thrilled to get Davis here, who may be undervalued in this draft. Davis was a two time All-American for the Buckeyes and competed at the highest level. Many have him projected as a 2nd round pick due to his injury history, but if he's healthy, there's no one better at his position in this draft. High-risk, High-reward selection for a team who can afford it.
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32. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Samuel Cosmi, OT, Texas
Cosmi has the versatility to start on either side of the line, with the majority of his starts coming at left tackle. With Tristan Wirfs in place on the right side, Cosmi can stick to his more natural position. The Buccaneers free agency is going to be a major story in the offseason. Many guys have already expressed interest in remaining, but money talks. Look for Zaven Collins (LB) to be of interest if Lavonte David leaves in free agency.