Randy's 2021 Final Mock Draft
For the final mock published of the year for me, I want to do one with no trades. There have already been 3 trades in the first before the draft even happened and I do expect at least 2 more on draft day. However, with mock draft competitions in mind, the no trades will help me to get closer to what would really happen and not what I would do with forcing trades.
Please respond with any discussions of any picks you might have on Twitter to @RHallNFL and let's have some fun here.
1. Jacksonville Jaguars: Trevor Lawrence, QB Clemson
Urban Meyer and company have done all the research and work into nailing this pick according to his presser this week. I think it has to be Lawrence, if they passed and he killed it elsewhere they would look stupid.
2. New York Jets: Zach Wilson, QB BYU
This is either a case of a really great smokescreen or it is just as simple as who they like best being known for months. Not changing it now with how volatile the rest of this most likely will be. Wilson is very talented with a lot of upside and can thrive in this scheme.
3. San Francisco 49ers: Trey Lance, QB North Dakota State
The 49ers traded up multiple picks this year and the future to get their QB of the future. I have to believe they did that with the belief they can get a good QB now with major future upside. The smoke tells us it will be either Lance or Mac Jones. If that is true, I have to pick Lance as the only one with a sky-high upside of the two.
4. Atlanta Falcons: Kyle Pitts, TE/Weapon Florida
The Falcons have a bad spot here with needs that don't fit the pick value. With them being forced to sit here, I will keep the long-running trend of the Falcons picking Kyle Pitts to make the 12 personnel much better for Arthur Smith's offense. If they are trading Julio after the draft, then Pitts gives them an ungodly weapon to rebuild this offense alongside Calvin Ridley.
5. Cincinnati Bengals: Penei Sewell, OT Oregon
I can't in good conscience allow the Bengals to not go the best lineman in the draft here to protect Burrow. I love Burrow's game and they need him healthy to give this team any chance to succeed. Chase would be nice, but not a dire need like the offensive line.
6. Miami Dolphins: Jaylen Waddle, WR Alabama
The Dolphins traded back and can get a top receiver still to finish off this receiving core. I think the argument for Slater here is a good one as well. For me, Chase is the best WR in the class, however, Waddle is still incredible and is more of a pure slot which is more of what the Dolphins need to pair with Gesecki, Williams, Parker, and Fuller.
7. Detroit Lions: Ja'Marr Chase, WR LSU
The Lions or Panthers are trading back in my opinion due to the price moving to 4 being too high and that Fields, Jones, and Slater are valuable trade-up prospects. But with them staying here they get the best receiver in the class. They need a lot for sure, and they get to start the rebuild with an Alpha receiver.
8. Carolina Panthers: Patrick Surtain II, CB Alabama
Again, I think the Panthers are set to trade back. Sticking at eight, however, they avoid the temptation of Justin Fields to stack up the QB room and take what I believe is the best corner in the class. He is soooooo smooth and will be a dominant addition to this rebuilding and young secondary.
9. Denver Broncos: Justin Fields, QB OSU
Well, the Broncos luck out and in a sense win the lottery in a no trade mock. Fields is my QB2 and very close behind Lawrence. He is an elite talent and honestly I doubt that Denver can sit and get him here. New England, Washington, and Chicago all will be blowing up the Lions and Panthers phones for a trade.
10. Dallas Cowboys: Jaycee Horn, CB South Carolina
Dallas always seems to need a corner to help solidify this defense and they really nailed it last year with Diggs. Now, they get a high upside prospect that honestly should be the CB1 for Dallas day 1. Many believe Horn could be the first corner off the board for multiple teams and I can't blame them. He is really good and will be a great corner for a long time.
11. New York Giants: Micah Parsons, LB Penn State
I picked this for our Mega Mock show last week and I still love the fit. The Giants' outside linebackers aren't great and Parsons is a blue-chip prospect that will thrive in a multiple-sets defense as the Giants have. If he can improve his pass coverage, he is going to be a top-of-the-league mike linebacker.
12. Philadelphia Eagles: DeVonta Smith, WR Alabama
The Eagles trade back to help rebuild and still get an elite WR in the Heisman winner. There are some things he needs to work on and I do think he needs to pack on some muscle to work better in traffic and over the middle. Besides that, he is as good as it gets and will be an Alpha for the Eagles, who desperately need help at receiver.
13. Los Angeles Chargers: Rashawn Slater, OT/IOL Northwestern
Slater is considered by some as the best lineman of the class, so while I love Darrisaw as a plug-and-play LT, I have to assume Slater is the pick. I do think he can play tackle in the NFL and worst case you get a dominate guard. As I stated with the Bengals pick of Sewell, you have to protect the franchise QB at all cost.
14. Minnesota Vikings: Christian Darrisaw, OT Virginia Tech
I am not a fan of either of the Vikings' perceived starting tackles so this is an easy call for me. Darrisaw is my tackle 3 of the class but I love his instant impact and upside at the position. I would grade this as an A+ pick if this is the outcome on draft day. If the Vikings want to continue as a dominant running and play-action team, then they must focus on the line.
15. New England Patriots: Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, LB/S Notre Dame
New England will trade up for Justin Fields or Trey Lance in my opinion. However, they can't here so they sit and take a blue-chip weapon on defense in Owusu-Koramoah. The Patriots' multiple front defenses will use this kid as an absolute monster at OLB, Safety, and nickel corner at times. This move could help elevate them back to the best defense in football.
16. Arizona Cardinals: Greg Newsome II, CB Northwestern
The Cardinals need an outside corner of the future and a potential CB1 replacement for Patrick Peterson. Newsome is apart of the top 4 corners of the class and is a great fit for this scheme. Newsome will work tirelessly to dominate his guy and has the best closing speed and trail of the class.
17. Las Vegas Raiders: Teven Jenkins, OT Oklahoma State
Jenkins immediately steps in for the Raiders at right tackle to replace Trent Brown after his trade earlier this offseason. They traded away Hudson and Jackson as well to kick start the rebuild in a cheaper fashion than before. They brought back Incognito and Good to be, as of now, their starters this year. He has played the last 2 years at right tackle so he will be ready to play the open spot on day 1. His tenacity and toughness will carry him through as he continues to develop the nuances of the game.
18. Miami Dolphins: Alijah Vera-Tucker, OT/IOL USC
The Dolphins already landed their playmaker at 6 in Waddle, now they add Vera-Tucker to be what should be the final piece of the puzzle of this offensive line. Vera-Tucker is an excellent mover, mauling blocker, and plays with impressive balance and athleticism. He needs to get better in pass blocking with an anchor if he stays at tackle, but if he is the right guard for the Dolphins he will have no issues. Let Vera-Tucker, Hunt, and Jackson compete it out to see who fits best at left tackle, right guard, and right tackle this preseason and I am confident however it shakes out that the Dolphins will have a solid and young starting line.
19. Washington Football Team: Mac Jones, QB Alabama
Washington lands a future franchise QB in Jones who they would most likely need to trade up for on the draft day. I truly believe he is good and will be a perennial starter in the NFL. However, his upside is limited but fits great with a defense-focused team with weapons that arguably fit the mold of what he had at Bama.
20. Chicago Bears: Liam Eichenberg, OT Notre Dame
The Bears can't trade ahead of Washington so will have to take their possible QB of the future day 2. Eichenberg is being talked about this month as a lock to go in the first thanks to his pro-ready ability at the NFL level. I am not sure he will ever elevate much at the next level but will be a solid starter for years to come.
21. Indianapolis Colts: Jaelen Phillips, EDGE Miami
The Colts edge rushers on roster right now are lackluster at best. They take by most people's boards the best edge in the class. He is the only one that has a complete game and multiple moves he wins with right now. If he stays healthy he will be a huge addition for them.
22. Tennessee Titans: Rashod Bateman, WR Minnesota
The Titans have made some great offseason acquisitions this year and cap it off here by replacing Corey Davis with a better prospect in Bateman. The Minnesota stand out is my WR2 this year because of his versatility, smooth route running and overall great upside. Allowing him to be a second option of a team behind AJ Brown should allow any kinks to be worked out of his game and lead to a lethal combo for the future.
23. New York Jets: Kwity Paye, EDGE Michigan
Saleh gets a prototypical edge to pair with an incredible defensive line in Lawson, Williams, and Rankins. This should give the Jets a ridiculous line that can rival what Saleh had in the 49ers Superbowl run. Now they just need to get some corner help and fix up the offense around Wilson.
24. Pittsburgh Steelers: Najee Harris, RB Alabama
The Steelers fans are up in the air with this outcome. They need to address running back, tackle, center, and a corner in this draft and Harris is by a lot of boards the best player available here. They get the next great bruising back of the franchise here to compete in what could be the best running back division in the league.
25. Jacksonville Jaguars: Trevon Moehrig, S TCU
In my last mock I had the Jags go tackle here but I think the biggest hole for them here is a top end safety and there is no one close to Moehrig's talent in this class. He immediately improves a young secondary for the Jaguars and sets them up to get back to a top end defense. Don't be surprized if this is Barmore here. Urban has spoken about needing to improve the defensive tackle position and will do so by the end of day 2.
26. Cleveland Browns: Caleb Farley, CB
The signing of Clowney and McKinnley the Browns biggest need moves to making sure you have a CB2 on the outside opposite Ward and adding depth to the corner room. Farley on pure tape is in an argument of being the best corner in the class. With limited medicals this year, the back injury is concerning people possibly more than it should. I think he will be fine and if he can stay on the field, becomes an absolute steal at 26.
27. Baltimore Ravens: Terrace Marshall Jr., WR LSU
With the trade with the Chiefs giving the Ravens a second 1st round pick this year, I think they take a receiver they love here to make sure he isn't gone by their next pick. Marshall is a great prospect and is more of a big body type than anyone on their roster really. He gives them another aspect to this passing game and may be the last piece they need. Now its up to Lamar to put in the work to prove the world wrong.
28. New Orleans Saints: Kadarius Toney, WR Florida
The Saints have a good amount of needs but with the termoil at QB right now thanks to Brees retiring, they go a versatile weapon on offense to give Winston and Hill the best chance to succeed. Thomas needs a new running mate with Sanders being cut this offseason and most sources around the league believe Toney goes in the first. Im following the smoke and adding him to the revamped Saints.
29. Green Bay Packers: Christian Barmore, IDL Alabama
The Packers for better or worse have only drafted 2 offensive skill position players since 2005 in Rodgers and Love in the first round. I assume that trend continues with them filling another need and snagging the best defensive tackle in the draft by far in Barmore. The crazy thing is, he is already so good with being still pretty raw overall. He can thrive as a 3 down DT early as he continues to grow.
30. Buffalo Bills: Jayson Oweh, EDGE Penn State
The Bills need more pass rushers to be an even better defense. That being said, this was a really difficult pick to make deciding between the remaining edges on the board. They usually like a player with a high motor that can be as effective in the run as they are in pass rush. Oweh wasn't a stat monster in his final year in college, but he is very talented and should go here at the end of the first. He becomes their best pass rush edge day one in my eyes as well.
31. Baltimore Ravens: Zaven Collins, LB/EDGE Tulsa
With the second pick for the Ravens on the night, they get a stud player in Collins with the versatility this team covets. He can be moved around all over and blitz from multiple positions. They need depth in the linebacker and edge room for this defense to properly function and Collins may be the only pick they need to make at the position.
32. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Azeez Ojulari, EDGE Georgia
The champs get richer here with the recent minimal news of an apparent nagging knee injury popping up in medicals making Ojulari fall down the board. But he is my top edge in the class along side Phillips so I just can't see him out of the first round. The Buccaneers can also allow him proper time to recover from any injury with a deep roster already and he can provide an ungodly rotational spark at the edge position that is already loaded. Then he can be their edge opposite Shaq Barrett for the future.
Thanks again for reading and be sure to message me on Twitter (@RHallNFL) with any discussion about any pick that you want!
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