Last Week: 3-1
Last week was a pretty solid week for me. I nailed the Packers, Texans, and Bills picks. The Cowboys decided to play well because I did not pick them and blew out the Rams. Week 16 is upon us and there are several key matchups that could determine seeding for the playoffs. The Bills take on New England in Foxboro for a chance to tie up the division (Patriots hold the tiebreaker). A pivotal matchup in the NFC East pits the Eagles against Dallas, with the winner gaining control of their own destiny to win the division. The Packers go on the road to face the Vikings in a huge matchup as well. While many of you have been eliminated from the fantasy playoffs, you can sit back and enjoy some late-December football.
Saints (-1.5) @ Titans (O/U 50.5) – Sunday, 1:00 PM
It will be interesting to see how both teams respond this week after two big games in Week 15. New Orleans is coming off a stomping of the Indianapolis Colts on Monday Night Football. In particular, it was an emotional high with Drew Brees passing Peyton Manning to become the all-time leader in passing touchdowns in NFL history (for now). They will need to re-focus in Tennessee who lost a huge game to the Texans last week. If you know the Saints, they can be particularly vulnerable on the road in sloppy conditions. However, they are 5-1 on the road this season. I think the Titans fall continues in this game as the Saints pull out a close game late in the fourth quarter. I also like the over in this game, pending a game like last week with missed field goals and turnovers in the red zone.
Pick: Saints 30-21
Start: WR, Michael Thomas (NO)
Sit: Titans D/ST
(Image from Saints Wire/USA Today)
Cowboys (-2.5) @ Eagles (O/U 46) – Sunday, 4:25 PM
This will be my fourth attempt to pick a game involving the Cowboys correctly. You may just want to move on to the next game. The only reason I am considering the Eagles in this game is simply because they are at home. Vegas clearly like the Cowboys in this game, being that they are 2.5 point favorites on the road. Both of these teams have been up and down this season and it’s really hard to predict who is going to come out ready to play. Dallas has the better offense and that is why I’m picking them to win this game and continue on to win the division next week. The Eagles are solid against the run, but I like Zeke in this game, as they got him going in last week’s win over the Rams.
Pick: Cowboys 22-17
Start: RB, Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)
Sit: QB, Carson Wentz (PHI)
(Image from Dallas Morning News)
Bills @ Patriots (-6.5) (O/U 38.5) – Sunday, 4:30 PM
The Patriots are almost a lock here, as they are in almost every home game. Something is not right with this team and an individual with any common sense would pick the Patriots in this game. I mean you have to be insane to pick against the Patriots in December. That being said, I’m taking the Buffalo Bills here as my upset special of the week. Yes, I will probably look back on this Sunday night and shake my head. I believe in this Bills team. I believe they have the right mindset to go into New England and get the monkey off their back and pull out a win. I have no confidence in this Patriots team right now. The biggest question in this game is can Buffalo generate enough points on offense and/or get a special teams/defensive score? If that happens, I think the Bills pull off an upset.
Pick: Bills 20-18
Start: WR, Julian Edelman (NE)
Sit: QB, Josh Allen (BUF)
(Image from Patriots Wire)
Packers @ Vikings (-4.5) (O/U 45) – Monday, 8:15 PM
The Packers and Vikings headline the week 16 schedule on Monday night in a battle that hinges greatly on playoff seeding. The Packers can wrap up the division with a win in either of their final two games. The Vikings would need to win this game and next week’s game, while having Green Bay lose to Detroit in Week 17 to have any chance to win the division. Minnesota might be without their top two running backs as Dalvin Cook and Alexander Mattison are listed as questionable. With Cook being questionable and the Packers at full health, I like Green Bay in this game. I would sit Cousins in this game if Cook isn’t suiting up for championship week in your fantasy league. The Vikings strong run game sets up Cousins to be excellent in the play-action game. Without Cook, the threat just is not as great.
Pick: Packers 23-17
Start: WR, DaVante Adams (GB)
Sit: QB, Kirk Cousins (MIN)
(Image from Packers Wire)